Thursday, August 30, 2007

Reality of the fire

There is no smoke without a fire

Another famous Egyptian folk proverb , it is said about rumors that every rumor may have some traces from the truth. of course when I speak about rumors now and here I mean in particular the rumor that is hitting not only Egypt but also the Arab world from the Gulf to the Ocean

Oh yes the one about President Mubarak health ,sorry life

here is the Lebanese "Al-Akhabr" is saying that its contacts from foreign diplomats in Cairo are trying to know the truth of this news or this rumor from the Presidential palaces but in vain including an American diplomat who said that

 "The old man seems ill, there is something happened we do not know what it is exactly ,it is obvious there is a confusion for the first time in the ruling palace"

according to Lebanese "Al-Akhabr" this is an American diplomat statement , of course the Americans may know more but they do not to say that they do ,already we won't forget that their ambassador in Cairo who is spending Summer in the North Coast this year was accused of spreading the rumor ,along with the Muslim brotherhood ,the favorite villains for the official media

People he can be seriously ill and all these appearances are made just to calm down the people and world and of course because they keep it as a secret in a very critical time it is natural that more rumors come out

 There is a rumor that was enforced by the new leftist newspaper "El-Badeel" which claimed that the Mubarak's visit to the Smart village last week was an old visit from two years ago and that they had to rewind  it in media to calm people down and to prove that he is still alive , a rumor I am afraid many people in and out side Egypt began to believe , today several people I met and heard are repeating it , do not forget he did not attend the Universities youth meeting in Alex. and his son came "Gamal" instead of him

The Arabic blogsphere more than the Egyptian blogsphere is speaking widely about the death of Mubarak , he is not alive anymore for them ,of course Mubarak is not that popular regionally

Egyptian forums have nothing to speak about except this ,everyone in Cairo or Alexandria seemed to know about the rumor and heard about it from four days ago with relatives here and there

people working in the Gulf are calling their families back in Egypt to know what is going on !!??

A Syrian blogger made the title of his post "The death of Mubarak" directly , stating more rumors or stories about the death of Mubarak that he died clinically in one of the hospitals in France or Italy

I do not know where is the truth today in Daily El-Dostor which now more than ever I become suspicious in its real sources is saying that Mubarak is sick and is suffering from Blood circulation shortage "I don't the English medical terminology for it , but I know it happens when the blood stop pumping to the brain from time to time , not complete cessation for the blood circulation which by the way causes the clinical death" the blood circulation shortage as far I understood from what I read in the report causes sudden faints, if you remember from two years ago he fainted in the opening session of the parliament and ironically they thought the Egyptian people are fool enough to believe the official version that the President took a powerful antibiotic without a vitamin !!

Another rumor I read in one of the Arabic forum that he is suffering from a brain stroke in one of the military hospitals in Egypt and that his condition is going from bad to worse  !!

Another rumor confirms that he is in Paris suffering from the same Brain stroke !!

Yet today we found the pictures of his sudden visit to the industrial area in Borg Al-Arab near Alexandria yesterday  ,already it is remarkable  that it is for the first time the Presidential schedule for the week is being announced across the official newspapers that the President is going to have a meeting King Abdallah of Jordan next Tuesday and Tony Blair

This is most powerful rumor ever said about him , there is something right in this rumor for sure

I do not know where the truth is , already if we step a side the pictures of his Borg Al-Arab visit ,the evidence that he is still alive , we found ourselves in front of a collection of rumors all focusing about some dangerous brain illness that either caused or is causing death that can not be stopped and that this condition is kept secret from the people at very critical time

First of all Our Parliament is in vacation ,the first session will be in November I think so no constitution games very soon ,of course in the case of President's Death there will be a special session and the Speaker of the house will be the President for 60 days

Second of all the Ramdan is just two weeks away from us

Third of all the Universities and schools are going to be opened on the next 13th of September 2007 , Universities students riots and protests are always in the mind of the security ,already I read that the security is watching out the coming activities of the MB students at the Universities , I was in  an Egyptian national university , the Cairo University and I know how bad the protests can go

of course this is beside the ultimate question on who will take over his place ?? and what are the consequences of Mubarak absence nationally and regionally ??

Updated : It seemed that rumors are bothering the ruling palace and here is another direct respond an interview of the President with chief in editor of Daily Al-Ahram in the weekly Friday edition ,strangely there is no new photo for Mubarak in the online edition , in the interview Mubarak said  that  he heard about the rumors and he did not care about them , also he knew its sources ,another interesting remark he mentioned is that the Month of August is the RUMORS month, well it is is first time I hear about this for sure ,I mean since when we got months rumors are active in it more than the rest of the year

Still I reached to the point I do not know what to believe , may be if they are just little bit more honest about him , may be I will believe them 

Now I am thinking that he may have been serious ill last week in some of the military hospital , yet he recovered but they do not to declare it because they will open lots of discussion about the future of Egypt after him and the forbidden opposition of vice president !! 

May be this is the real the fire that caused all that smoke

6 comments:

  1. The expat community must be on fire with this speculation too, as I received a warning e-mail not to venture into town, near universities, etc. - not from the embassy, but from another source. So far, I've heard nothing from the American Embassy and frankly, I'm surprised that they made a public comment at all. It's somewhat unusual.

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  2. well Universities are not dangerous and the protests usually are under control of the security you will be surprised at the level of the security there outside the gates of Cairo University , the buses of the anti-riots forces do not leave the place 24/7 365 !!
    The protests are always stopped at the gates but sometimes students will be very angry and transfer their protests outside the gates like in case of Palestine , invasion of Iraq , it will be very nasty from the security side of course

    about the American statement , well it is not an official one ,it is more like a friendly statement to the newspapers , without names still we can not deny that they are curious more than anybody to know what did happen

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  3. my question is, if he does die suddenly, what are the governmental or national procedures in this case? like the so called legal ones... i mean i personally predict that some random law will be amended where Gamal just takes over like a monarchy :S, and egyptians being the real ball-busters that they are will take it with a spoon of sugar but no real opposition, but in seriously, who's supposed to be next in line of command?

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  4. @m ,the legal procedures in the case that we have a vice president will be as follows :
    The Speaker of house will be the president of Egypt for 60 days
    فhen the Vice President will take over and usually there is some sort of a poll in the parliament
    this is how it used to be , but I do not know in the case of the vice president absence
    and this is the ultimate challenge for us and for GM
    they can not change the constitution despite all the changes they did it this year to suite GM because it is not that easy do not forget inside the NDP there are those who do not like GM and his men
    Gm is racing time but he knows when fate says his word he will not get what he wants because he has no power with his father
    Who to be the next in line of command ?? well I do not the only names in my minds are Omar Soliman and GM ,of course Soliman is much powerful because he got the army in his side I think

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  5. ah. interesting. thanks zein

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