Sunday, June 1, 2008

The sequence of events

Please look with me at the sequence of the events in the Levant in the past two weeks:

  • The Lebanese parties reached to an agreement in Doha ; no more strikes , more Parliament sessions and a new president with a national cabinet.
  • Turkey announces that it is the mediator between Syria and Israel.
  • Syria and Israel admit that there are Peace negotiations between them.
  • There are news that Israel and Hezbollah are going to exchange POWs in a very big deal that will even include Samir Kantar himself !!??
  • Fouad El-Saniora is back again as the Prime minister !!??
  • Israel released Lebanese Prisoner on the 1st of June for exchange of their soldiers remains .

Now this is what I think

  • Egypt is completely excluded from all that considering that the fact that the Egyptian regime considered itself as a the sole mediator between the Arabs and Israel, I mean were not the words of Mubarak and his FM during the Israeli invasion to Lebanon in 2006 that we kept our embassy in Tel Aviv open to have a channel there !!??
  • Turkey and Qatar are the sole players here.
  • I do not think that Turkey is playing a role in the POWs deal but it is Qatar actually , Qatar got very strong relations with the Israel and it hosted Hezbollah for a whole week and it seems that they made the impossible to convince them to end the strike and to return back the Parliament not to mention to accept Al Saniora again as a prime minister.
  • There are brand new powers for a brand new middle East.

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